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 Anthropogenic Global Warming 101

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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty5/22/2014, 12:06 pm

happy jack wrote:
Missed this part, didn't you?

Nope.
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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty5/24/2014, 9:39 am

http://www.insidescience.org/content/my-1975-cooling-world-story-doesnt-make-todays-climate-scientists-wrong/1640

My 1975 'Cooling World' Story Doesn't Make Today's Climate Scientists Wrong

(Inside Science) – "The central fact is that, after three quarters of a century of extraordinarily mild conditions, the Earth seems to be cooling down. Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend, as well as over its specific impact on local weather conditions. But they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century." – Newsweek: April 28, 1975


That's an excerpt from a story I wrote about climate science that appeared almost 40 years ago. Titled "The Cooling World," it was remarkably popular; in fact it might be the only decades-old magazine story about science ever carried onto the set of a late-night TV talk show. Now, as the author of that story, after decades of scientific advances, let me say this: while the hypotheses described in that original story seemed right at the time, climate scientists now know that they were seriously incomplete. Our climate is warming -- not cooling, as the original story suggested.
Nevertheless, certain websites and individuals that dispute, disparage and deny the science that shows that humans are causing the Earth to warm continue to quote my article. Their message: how can we believe climatologists who tell us that the Earth's atmosphere is warming when their colleagues asserted that it's actually cooling?
Well, yes, we should trust them, despite the views of detractors such as comedian Dennis Miller, who brought my story to The Tonight Show in 2006. Several atmospheric scientists did indeed believe in global cooling, as I reported in the April 28, 1975 issue of Newsweek. But that was then.

………

Those that reject climate science ignore the fact that, like other fields, climatology has evolved since 1975.



And even though climatology will undoubtedly continue to evolve, anyone not swallowing whole the current-day assertions of the alarmists will be told, “The science is settled. So shut up.”
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty5/25/2014, 8:14 am

Interesting link.  Thanks!
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Artie60438




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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty8/12/2014, 12:34 pm

Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Wildfires720
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Scorpion

Scorpion


Posts : 2141

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty2/23/2015, 2:21 pm

I don't think that this was ever posted here... This is some pretty spectacular footage...  



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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty6/10/2015, 4:12 am

http://michellemalkin.com/?p=166282

G7 agrees to control earth’s temperature but remains split on if Superman could beat up Batman

By Doug Powers  •  June 9, 2015 10:27 AM

The G7 agreed Monday afternoon to limit the increase in global temperatures to a maximum of 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels ….



Uh huh.
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty7/13/2015, 12:56 pm

I said that if the denialsphere truly thought the Climategate fake scandal really was a scandal, they'd have had no problem ponying up their emails too.  They didn't.  Here's a small example of why:

Exxon knew of climate change in 1981, email says – but it funded deniers for 27 more years

Quote :
ExxonMobil, the world’s biggest oil company, knew as early as 1981 of climate change – seven years before it became a public issue, according to a newly discovered email from one of the firm’s own scientists. Despite this the firm spent millions over the next 27 years to promote climate denial.

The email from Exxon’s in-house climate expert provides evidence the company was aware of the connection between fossil fuels and climate change, and the potential for carbon-cutting regulations that could hurt its bottom line, over a generation ago – factoring that knowledge into its decision about an enormous gas field in south-east Asia. The field, off the coast of Indonesia, would have been the single largest source of global warming pollution at the time.

“Exxon first got interested in climate change in 1981 because it was seeking to develop the Natuna gas field off Indonesia,” Lenny Bernstein, a 30-year industry veteran and Exxon’s former in-house climate expert, wrote in the email. “This is an immense reserve of natural gas, but it is 70% CO2,” or carbon dioxide, the main driver of climate change.
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty12/7/2015, 10:43 am

Reagan, Bush 41 memos reveal sharp contrast with today’s GOP on climate and the environment

Quote :
The memos, stamped “confidential” and kept under wraps for years, portray a White House eager to assert U.S. leadership on climate change. Global warming will have “profound consequences,” one document warns, and the United States “cannot wait” until all scientific questions are resolved before taking action.

The source of the memos: Not the Obama White House, but policy advisers to President George H.W. Bush.

The memos were among several formerly classified documents from the Bush and Reagan administrations obtained under the Freedom of Information Act and released on Wednesday by the National Security Archive. The documents portray senior officials in the two Republican administrations pressing for an aggressive response to international environmental issues of the day — including, during Bush’s term, climate change.

Al Gore's got a time machine, apparently.
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/21/2016, 8:59 am

The Record For The Hottest Year Ever Just Got Broken Again

Quote :
1998 was the hottest year on record. 2005 was the hottest year in more than a century. 2010 was just as hot. 2014 was the hottest year on record.

And now we’ve set a record once again — 2015 was Earth’s warmest year since record-keeping started in the 1800s. That conclusion comes from three separate analyses released Wednesday. . . .

One measure is from a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration analysis, another from NASA, a third from the U.K.’s Met Office (previously known as the Meteorological Office), and finally NOAA’s raw data without adjustments to account for technical issues. “Regardless of whether you correct the data or not, if you just plot the raw data, you still get a record in 2015,” said Thomas Karl, director of NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, in a press briefing Wednesday.

And still not happening according to every Republican candidate.  Such a denial of reality makes them poorly equipped to deal with this:

Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Billions_zpszvty89jr

The next President will have to deal with the physical and financial consequences of global warming, regardless of their belief.

And 2016 is expected to be worse.
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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty3/17/2017, 3:52 pm

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/03/15/climate-change-could-shrink-animals-warn-scientists/

Climate change could shrink animals, warn scientists

An ancient ancestor of modern, Arenahippus pernix, shrank during a similar period of global warming to what the Earth is currently experiencing

Sarah Knapton, SCIENCE EDITOR
15 MARCH 2017 • 6:04PM

Animals could start shrinking because of global warming, scientists have predicted, after discovering that mammals became ‘dwarfed’ in a similar episode of climate change 50 million years ago.
Paleontologists discovered the fossil teeth belonging to an early ancestor of modern horses as well as a rabbit-sized hoofed mammal.
The teeth revealed that during Eocene Thermal Maximum 2, a warming event of around 3C that occurred approximately 53.7 million years ago, the animals shrank in size by 14 per cent.
Climate researchers currently estimate that the planet will warm between 2C and 4C by 2100.  


Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Horsey-large_trans_NvBQzQNjv4BqzPDZVAnxkOCx_pj0EK6q2uwfwo53vzJZho7LBlEN9YU
Britain's smallest and tallest horse meet

Evidence of mammalian dwarfing during the largest warming event on record, the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), is already well-documented and some creatures shrunk by as much as one third as temperatures rose between 5C and 8C.
But the impact of less extreme ancient global warming events on animals has remained unclear until now.
“Dwarfing appears to be a common evolutionary response of some mammals during past global warming events, and the extent of dwarfing seems related to the magnitude of the event,” said lead author Dr Abigail Ambrosia, of the University of New Hampshire.
“Abrupt perturbations of the global carbon cycle during the early Eocene are associated with rapid global warming events, which are analogous in many ways to present greenhouse warming.”
The researchers analysed tooth enamel from mammalian fossils collected in the Bighorn Basin of Wyoming including Arenahippus pernix, an ancestor of modern horses. The teeth provided information on ingested water and consumed vegetation as well as acting as a proxy for body size.
The authors propose several warming-induced mechanisms that could have caused the mammalian dwarfing, including lower nutrient availability.
“Body size change during periods of climate change is commonly seen throughout historical and geological records among mammals and other organisms,” added Dr Ambrosia.

“Nutrient availability along with, and as a consequence of, rising temperatures and drought, may also have a direct effect on body size. Drought conditions have been known to lead to smaller offspring.
“This suggests that dwarfing will be a likely natural response of some mammals to future global warming.”





This is awful!
We will need to begin genetically engineering jockeys and cowboys to make them small enough to ride these wee horseys, and 10 gallon hats will need to be reduced to a quart and a half.
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty3/18/2017, 6:10 pm

So glad we have a head of the EPA willing to dismiss all of the Pentagon's reports over the past 20 years warning of the dangers of climate change.

Thankfully we have someone willing to stand up to such alarmists as our newly appointed General Mattis. Not sure why he was appointed, but I'm sure it had something to do with [insert conservative conspiracy here]. I'm sure we'll all be better off now.
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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty4/21/2017, 9:29 am

https://www.thenation.com/article/the-other-poison-gas-killing-syrians-carbon-dioxide-emissions/

The Other Poison Gas Killing Syrians: Carbon Dioxide Emissions

If Trump and his cronies really cared about children killed by noxious gases, they wouldn’t be trying to spew ever more CO2 into the atmosphere.

By Juan ColeTwitter
APRIL 18, 2017

………

CO2 is a deadly greenhouse gas that turned Venus into a torrid hellhole hot enough to melt lead.

………



Perhaps some real science-y type guys can study this to discover whether the CO2 increase on Venus occurred before, or after, their industrial revolution and before, or after, the advent of three-headed Venusians piling into their SUVs.
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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty4/21/2017, 9:49 am

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/446923/earth-day-march-science-advocates-progressive-political-worldview

How Progressives Cherry-Pick Science They Like

by MONA CHAREN April 21, 2017 12:00 AM

………

We unite as a diverse, nonpartisan group to call for science that upholds the common good ….

………



Science” is not something that “upholds the common good”, nor is it something that does not “uphold(s)the common good”.
Science is something that just is.
And it just does what it does, regardless of how you feel about it.
But, by all means, keep on marching if you think it will make any difference whatsoever.
Perhaps if you march in the right direction and at the right speed, you can reverse the rotation of the Earth, and go back in time to an era when the globe was not warming .... er, cooling .... er, changing .... er, not doing something you don't like.
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty9/12/2017, 4:35 am

Florida governor has ignored climate change risks and impact on state, critics say

Quote :
By all accounts, Scott and other officials have aggressively tried to prepare the state and its residents for the destructive storm's impact and immediate aftermath.

But for all of Scott's vigor in readying Florida for Irma's wrath, his administration has done little over the years to prepare for what scientists say are the inevitable effects of climate change that will wreak havoc in the years to come. With its far-reaching coastline and low elevation, Florida is one of the states at greatest risk from rising sea levels, extreme weather events - including more powerful hurricanes - and other consequences of a warming planet.

Local officials, academics and even some political allies say Scott has scarcely acknowledged the problem and, along with the Republican-led legislature, has shown little interest in funding projects to help the state adapt and become more resilient in the face of storms such as Irma.

. . .

"It's more than an absence of leadership. There's harm being done by denying the problem," said Eric Buermann, former general counsel to the Republican Party of Florida and a former board chairman for the Southwest Florida Water Management District. "He's chilled the discussion, so that those who would want to do something about it feel ostracized . . . I'm a Republican. He's a Republican. He's a nice guy. There's nothing negative I have to say about the human being. It's just that the policy is 180 degrees off course."

Seas are rising faster than in the past, and low-lying Florida, with its tourist-attracting beaches and condo-crowded coastlines, could be among the hardest hit by the change.

"It's important we don't hide from reality," said Harold Wanless, chairman of the University of Miami's geological science department and an expert on sea level rise. "We should be doing very serious planning, and it doesn't help when you have a governor and a president who are dismissing [climate change]."
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty9/12/2017, 4:40 am

And from 2016:

Boomtown, Flood Town

Quote :
“More people die here than anywhere else from floods,” said Sam Brody, a Texas A&M University at Galveston researcher who specializes in natural hazards mitigation. “More property per capita is lost here. And the problem’s getting worse.”

Why?

Scientists, other experts and federal officials say Houston's explosive growth is largely to blame. As millions have flocked to the metropolitan area in recent decades, local officials have largely snubbed stricter building regulations, allowing developers to pave over crucial acres of prairie land that once absorbed huge amounts of rainwater. That has led to an excess of floodwater during storms that chokes the city’s vast bayou network, drainage systems and two huge federally owned reservoirs, endangering many nearby homes — including Virginia Hammond’s.

On top of that, scientists say climate change is causing torrential rainfall to happen more often, meaning storms that used to be considered “once-in-a-lifetime” events are happening with greater frequency. Rare storms that have only a miniscule chance of occurring in any given year have repeatedly battered the city in the past 15 years. And a significant portion of buildings that flooded in the same time frame were not located in the “100-year” floodplain — the area considered to have a 1 percent chance of flooding in any given year — catching residents who are not required to carry flood insurance off guard.
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Artie60438




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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty9/12/2017, 12:33 pm

Heretic wrote:
And from 2016:

Boomtown, Flood Town

Quote :
“More people die here than anywhere else from floods,” said Sam Brody, a Texas A&M University at Galveston researcher who specializes in natural hazards mitigation. “More property per capita is lost here. And the problem’s getting worse.”

Why?

Scientists, other experts and federal officials say Houston's explosive growth is largely to blame. As millions have flocked to the metropolitan area in recent decades, local officials have largely snubbed stricter building regulations, allowing developers to pave over crucial acres of prairie land that once absorbed huge amounts of rainwater. That has led to an excess of floodwater during storms that chokes the city’s vast bayou network, drainage systems and two huge federally owned reservoirs, endangering many nearby homes — including Virginia Hammond’s.

On top of that, scientists say climate change is causing torrential rainfall to happen more often, meaning storms that used to be considered “once-in-a-lifetime” events are happening with greater frequency. Rare storms that have only a miniscule chance of occurring in any given year have repeatedly battered the city in the past 15 years. And a significant portion of buildings that flooded in the same time frame were not located in the “100-year” floodplain — the area considered to have a 1 percent chance of flooding in any given year — catching residents who are not required to carry flood insurance off guard.
The joys of small government and deregulation. cheers

However Heretic,As we all know,Now is not the time to discuss it. Rolling Eyes

Instead we must send our thoughts and pray to an imaginary friend. Shocked
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happy jack




Posts : 6988

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty9/17/2017, 9:00 am

Artie60438 wrote:


Instead we must send our thoughts and pray to an imaginary friend.  Shocked

Would that be the same imaginary friend that Barack and Hillary pray to?
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Heretic

Heretic


Posts : 3520

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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty12/1/2017, 6:03 am

Moody's Warns Cities to Address Climate Risks or Face Downgrades

Quote :
In a report to its clients Tuesday, Moody’s Investors Service Inc. explained how it incorporates climate change into its credit ratings for state and local bonds. If cities and states don’t deal with risks from surging seas or intense storms, they are at greater risk of default.

In its report, Moody’s lists six indicators it uses "to assess the exposure and overall susceptibility of U.S. states to the physical effects of climate change." They include the share of economic activity that comes from coastal areas, hurricane and extreme-weather damage as a share of the economy, and the share of homes in a flood plain.

Bloomberg News reported in May that towns and counties were able to secure AAA ratings despite their risks of flooding and other destruction from storms, which are likely to be more frequent and intense because of climate change. If repeated storms and floods are likely to send property values -- and tax revenue -- sinking while spending on sea walls, storm drains or flood-resistant buildings goes up, investors say bond buyers should be warned.
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/7/2018, 12:04 am

Natural catastrophe review: Series of hurricanes makes 2017 year of highest insured losses ever

Quote :
The hurricane trio of Harvey, Irma and Maria will cost the insurance industry a record amount in 2017: the final insurance bill for those and other natural catastrophes, including a severe earthquake in Mexico, is expected to come to US$ 135bn – higher than ever before. And overall losses – i.e. including uninsured losses – amounted to US$ 330bn, the second-highest figure ever recorded for natural disasters. The only costlier year so far was 2011, when the Tohoku earthquake in Japan contributed to overall losses of US$ 354bn in today’s dollars.
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/11/2018, 6:15 pm

2017: Hottest Year with No el Niño

Quote :
Last year (2017) will not be the hottest year on record; it’s likely to be 2nd-hottest. But it will be the hottest which was not enhanced by el Niño conditions.

. . .

The most worrisome aspect is just how hot 2017 was even without a heat boost from el Niño. This will surely bother the climate deniers who have been trying so hard to blame 2016’s record heat on el Niño. It’s obvious that 2017’s extreme heat isn’t “just because of el Niño” — it’s in spite of the lack of el Niño.

But the reason it’s so worrisome isn’t that it will annoy climate deniers (that’s just an added bonus). The problem it highlights is that global warming continues apace, that there’s no valid evidence (and never has been) of its abating. The problems climate change brings are going to get worse. And worse.
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happy jack




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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/11/2018, 7:13 pm

Funny - I've always been told that, when discussing 'climate change', we are not allowed to reference individual, short-term weather events, e.g., a massive blizzard in no way means that the earth is not warming.
Apparently, the rules have been changed, and the goalposts have been moved yet again.
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/11/2018, 7:54 pm

No, you're just still confusing weather and climate.  Year long, planet wide temperature trends cannot, in any honest way, be considered "individual, short-term weather events."
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happy jack




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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/12/2018, 1:19 am

Well, I hope one of these days y'all get your stories straight.
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/12/2018, 11:24 am

So you're back with the "it's not happening; it's a conspiracy" crowd, huh?
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Heretic

Heretic


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PostSubject: Re: Anthropogenic Global Warming 101   Anthropogenic Global Warming 101 - Page 15 Empty1/12/2018, 1:46 pm



Understanding 'bomb-cyclone' weather in a climate context

Quote :
With New England, much of the middle Atlantic region, and parts of the southeast extending well into Florida suffering through late December-, early January-punishing cold temperatures, and in a number of places, record night-time lows and heavy snowfalls – the inevitable “so much for global warming” argument seemed certain to arise.

On the one hand there were analytical news stories such as The Washington Post’s Capital Weather Gang’s story headlined “Historic ‘bomb cyclone’ unleashes blizzard conditions from coastal Virginia to New England. Frigid air to follow.”

There also was President Trump’s “we could use a little more of that good old global warming” tweet from his “balmy Mar a Lago” residence looking forward to a frigidly cold New Years Eve dropping of the 2018 ball at Times Square in New York City.

So how then to explain such not-at-all-unusual experience of cold weather temperatures even as the global temperatures continue rising? (One can safely anticipate having to explain cool summer-time daily temperatures in some places as the world continues warming.) To some extent, it’s a simple question of needing to repeatedly explain the difference between weather (short term and local) and climate (long term and global).

This month’s “This is Not Cool” video lays-out the scientific explanation. Through the experience-based research and careful descriptions of a handful of prominent climatologists, the video makes understandable a question puzzle sure to arise in the minds of professional climate-science “skeptics” and also the public at large.

Had to get a video so you won't need your kids to read and explain it to you.
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